Oklahoma State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
7  Girma Mecheso SR 30:43
11  Tom Farrell JR 30:55
19  Shadrack Kipchirchir JR 31:08
28  Joseph Manilafasha JR 31:19
57  Shane Moskowitz SO 31:34
60  Kirubel Erassa SO 31:36
108  Fabian Clarkson SO 31:55
114  Brian Gohlke FR 31:56
139  Craig Nowak FR 32:01
236  Zach Wills FR 32:18
252  Taylor Monaghan JR 32:20
281  Neal Smith SO 32:25
460  David Osborn SO 32:50
473  Nick Thorp SO 32:51
639  Justin Vilhauer FR 33:11
680  Kevin Colon SO 33:15
1,235  Klaus Schmidt JR 34:06
National Rank #1 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #1 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.9%
Most Likely Finish 1st at Nationals


National Champion 77.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 99.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 99.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 99.9%


Regional Champion 92.8%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Girma Mecheso Tom Farrell Shadrack Kipchirchir Joseph Manilafasha Shane Moskowitz Kirubel Erassa Fabian Clarkson Brian Gohlke Craig Nowak Zach Wills Taylor Monaghan
Cowboy Jamboree 09/29 314 31:29 31:13 31:21 32:02 31:50 31:46 31:51 32:03 32:21
Chile Pepper Festival 10/13 291 31:25 31:53 31:30 31:37 31:28 31:37 31:52 31:50 32:37 32:16
Big 12 Championships 10/27 196 31:10 31:14 31:11 31:40 31:21 31:21 31:55 32:11 32:09 32:22
Midwest Region Championships 11/09 287 31:22 31:25 31:33 31:26 32:04 31:47 32:03
NCAA Championship 11/17 106 30:24 30:35 30:53 30:59 31:34 31:57 32:29





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.9% 1.4 105 77.2 14.6 4.5 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.1 26 92.8 6.8 0.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Girma Mecheso 100% 7.4 0.0 1.4 5.3 12.4 11.8 9.0 7.6 5.8 5.1 4.6 3.3 3.1 2.4 2.4 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.3 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.6 1.1
Tom Farrell 100.0% 12.6 0.1 0.8 2.9 4.4 6.1 6.8 6.7 5.8 5.1 4.6 4.2 4.0 3.3 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.3
Shadrack Kipchirchir 100.0% 22.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.7 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.1 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.3 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.5 1.7
Joseph Manilafasha 100% 33.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.6 1.4 2.0 1.5 2.3 1.9 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.3 2.5 2.1 2.6
Shane Moskowitz 99.9% 56.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1
Kirubel Erassa 99.9% 58.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8
Fabian Clarkson 99.9% 101.9 0.0 0.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Girma Mecheso 1.0 62.2 17.1 7.9 4.7 2.7 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tom Farrell 1.8 21.6 35.3 13.9 8.7 5.2 3.7 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Shadrack Kipchirchir 3.3 5.0 17.3 23.1 15.3 8.4 5.8 4.5 3.6 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
Joseph Manilafasha 5.2 0.6 4.6 13.0 16.6 13.1 9.7 7.0 5.7 4.4 3.6 2.7 2.6 2.0 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2
Shane Moskowitz 9.8 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.9 7.2 8.2 8.7 8.2 7.2 6.1 5.7 4.7 4.0 3.9 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.9 1.0
Kirubel Erassa 10.6 0.1 0.9 2.6 6.7 7.4 8.7 7.1 6.5 6.2 6.2 5.2 4.1 3.7 4.0 3.1 3.0 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0
Fabian Clarkson 19.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.8 3.0 3.2 3.9 4.0 5.0 4.6 4.5 4.2 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.4 2.6 2.5 2.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 92.8% 100.0% 92.8 92.8 1
2 6.8% 100.0% 6.8 6.8 2
3 0.4% 80.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 99.9% 92.8 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Oklahoma 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 53.5% 1.0 0.5
Kansas 41.8% 1.0 0.4
Total 3.0
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 4.0